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Mon 05/10 | 11:05 PM UTC | Baltimore
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 22-13, +759 ML
BOS -1.5+110
BOS -130
Over 9-120
Baltimore Orioles 15-19, +95 ML
BAL +1.5-130
BAL +120
Under 9+100

Expert Picks

Boston 1 @ Baltimore 4 | 05/10 | 11:05 PM UTC

Baltimore +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: Not that many enticing matchups on Monday with a short schedule in MLB, but we'll go with the Birds at -130 on the runline at home vs. Boston. Neither starting pitcher -- the Sox's Martin Perez (0-2, 4.40) or Orioles' Jorge Lopez (1-3, 6.49) -- generates much confidence. Lopez has allowed three ER or fewer in his past four, but he won't be out there more than five innings. Not that the O's need any additional motivation, but no team likes to be swept in a home series and Baltimore tries to avoid that here.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+1161 40-23 IN LAST 63 MLB ATS PICKS
+280 4-1 IN LAST 5 BOS ATS PICKS

Season Splits

22-13, +759 ML
15-19, +95 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
22-13, +669
15-19, +95
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
75%
12-4, +820
4-13, -798
23%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
54%
13-11, -211
14-16, +318
46%
When Line was -150 to -120
MONEY LINE
When Line was +110 to +140
75%
6-2, +245
6-7, -5
46%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
70%
7-3, +190
3-11, -675
21%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
61%
11-7, +269
6-10, -282
37%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
58%
14-10, +89
13-18, -95
41%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
60%
14-9, +180
12-11, +473
52%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
66%
6-3, +126
3-6, -138
33%
when Martin Perez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jorge Lopez starts
50%
3-3, +129
2-4, -120
33%