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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
Not that many enticing matchups on Monday with a short schedule in MLB, but we'll go with the Birds at -130 on the runline at home vs. Boston. Neither starting pitcher -- the Sox's Martin Perez (0-2, 4.40) or Orioles' Jorge Lopez (1-3, 6.49) -- generates much confidence. Lopez has allowed three ER or fewer in his past four, but he won't be out there more than five innings. Not that the O's need any additional motivation, but no team likes to be swept in a home series and Baltimore tries to avoid that here.
The Red Sox are going for the four-game sweep, and I like their chances facing Jorge Lopez. When Boston faced him on April 11, the Red Sox battered Lopez for seven earned runs in four innings. Back Boston to improve to 13-4 on the road.
The Red Sox have been crushing the ball and are leading the MLB in runs per game, OPS, wOBA and wRC+. Taking an Over on this team is just the right way to play them, and I think they will get to Orioles starter Jorge López. He’s been hanging curveballs all year and I expect the Red Sox bats to get some good contact Monday He’s already faced the Sox and Boston was able to hang seven runs on López in just four innings. If you’re worried about the Orioles contributing, grab the Red Sox team total instead. However, I think that the Orioles will contribute 2-3 runs.