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Thu 05/06 | 5:15 PM UTC | St. Louis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 13-13, -283 ML
NYM -1.5+145
NYM -111
Over 8-110
St. Louis Cardinals 18-14, +331 ML
STL +1.5-170
STL +101
Under 8-110

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 4 @ St. Louis 1 | 05/06 | 5:15 PM UTC

St. Louis +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: I believe the wrong team is favored here (might not be the case by first pitch) so will happily take the Cardinals at -170 on the runline. New York is without two injured regulars in third baseman JD Davis and outfielder Brandon Nimmo Starting pitcher Taijuan Walker (1-1, 3.00) can be dominant at times but also very wild. The Cards' John Gant (2-2, 2.16) is one of the more underrated pitchers in the NL. New York is 3-8 in its past 11 vs. a right-handed starter.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+993 35-20 IN LAST 55 MLB ATS PICKS
+262 5-2 IN LAST 7 STL ATS PICKS
+141 3-1 IN LAST 4 NYM ATS PICKS

Season Splits

13-13, -283 ML
18-14, +331 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
48%
12-13, -473
18-13, +441
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
40%
6-9, -513
9-7, +280
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
62%
5-3, +130
12-7, +565
63%
When Line was -120 to +110
MONEY LINE
When Line was -120 to +110
71%
5-2, +230
11-8, +282
57%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
3-3, -85
6-2, +533
75%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
44%
8-10, -367
7-5, +21
58%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
16%
1-5, -395
17-11, +526
60%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
63%
7-4, +134
13-8, +544
61%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
33%
1-2, -95
2-1, +78
66%
when Taijuan Walker starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when John Gant starts
80%
4-1, +92
3-2, +116
60%