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Thu 05/06 | 6:10 PM UTC | Kansas City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Cleveland Indians 16-13, +154 ML
CLE +1.5-170
CLE +125
Over 8-110
Kansas City Royals 16-13, +234 ML
KC -1.5+145
KC -135
Under 8-110

Expert Picks

Cleveland 4 @ Kansas City | 05/06 | 6:10 PM UTC

Kansas City -130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Yes, the Royals are on a four-game skid but I'm still surprised they aren't bigger favorites on Thursday behind ace lefty Danny Duffy (4-1, 0.60). He's certainly in the early AL Cy Young conversation and ranks No. 2 in MLB in ERA. His season debut was six shutout innings in Cleveland. Meanwhile, the Indians' Triston McKenzie (0-1, 6.27) has been roughed up in back-to-back outings. Kansas City is 12-5 in its past 17 at home vs. right-handers; Cleveland is 6-7 this year vs. lefties.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+559 23-14 IN LAST 37 MLB PICKS
+70 2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ML PICKS

Season Splits

16-13, +154 ML
16-13, +234 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
55%
16-13, +154
16-13, +143
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
9-7, +191
8-8, -58
50%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
43%
7-9, -40
8-3, +338
72%
When Line was +100 to +130
MONEY LINE
When Line was -140 to -110
41%
5-7, -134
6-2, +311
75%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
44%
4-5, +25
4-3, -3
57%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
53%
7-6, +83
3-7, -475
30%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
60%
9-6, +104
2-5, -245
28%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
61%
11-7, +436
10-7, +102
58%
vs KC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
80%
4-1, +237
1-4, -280
20%
when Triston McKenzie starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Danny Duffy starts
25%
1-3, -185
4-1, +367
80%