Atlanta 3 @ Washington 2 | 05/06 | 8:05 PM UTC
ANALYSIS: Here's another game where I think the wrong team is favored but could flip by first pitch; since it hasn't yet, we will take the Nats on the runline at -160. They start lefty Jon Lester, who threw five shutout innings vs. Miami in his team and season debut last Friday. He is 7-2 with a 2.30 ERA in 11 starts against Atlanta, which has just one victory this year vs. a lefty. Lester catches one break in that the Braves are sitting reigning NL MVP Freddie Freeman. It's southpaw Drew Smyly (0-2, 8.25) for the Braves, and he has been terrible.