Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
Aaron Civale has been a little lucky in his career so far. He has a career ERA of 3.49 in 152 innings pitched, but his xFIP is 4.18. Civale's career BABIP is .280 and this season it is .146. The Yankees offense is overdue and my model has them as the seventh best offense vs. right-handed pitchers. Cleveland is also overdue. The Indians are averaging just 3.1 runs per game vs. righties. On the more positive side, the Indians are averaging 4.8 runs per game at home, 12th best in MLB.
The Yankees are now 6-11 and tied for the worst record in the American League with the fellow underperforming Twins. Domingo German is starting for the Yankees and he is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA while the Indians get Aaron Civale who is 3-0 with a 2.18 ERA this season. The Yankees have scored three runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games, and in that eighth game they scored four runs. The Indians are 8-8 and 4-2 at home, but most importantly I would fade the Yankees until they can show they can score. Take the value in the Tribe at home.