I'm going back to a play that has done very well for me so far this season. The Reds have hit the Over at an elite rate when both at home (8-2) and when they win (6-3). Some of my fellow experts have already taken the Reds moneyline today, as they are looking to avoid the sweep against Arizona, so I feel even more comfortable here. Back the Cincinnati bats to be active and expect runs to be scored at the Great American Ball Park.

I generally prefer runline wagering, but I don't see value on that in this matchup and we always like to bet something on the first game of an MLB day -- so Reds on the regular moneyline it is. Cincy gets back outfielder Nick Castellanos after he missed the past two on suspension. Arizona, meanwhile, is sitting a few of its regulars in the getaway day game. The Reds are trying to avoid the sweep and are 6-1 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 of a series.