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Wed 04/21 | 11:40 PM UTC | Chicago
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 7-5, +10 ML
NYM -1.5+130
NYM -125
Over 7.5-110
Chi. Cubs 7-9, -296 ML
CHC +1.5-150
CHC +115
Under 7.5-110

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 4 @ Chi. Cubs 16 | 04/21 | 11:40 PM UTC

Chi. Cubs +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: We won on the Cubs on the runline at -150 yesterday when they beat the Mets 3-1, and I see no reason why to change anything here at the same price. The pitching matchup was fairly even on Tuesday in good terms and it's fairly even here in bad terms with New York starting lefty David Peterson and the Cubs Zach Davies. At least Davies has had plenty of success in previous years, and Chicago is 3-0 vs. southpaws this year. The only Met hitting right now is Brandon Nimmo, and he's getting this one off.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+630 18-9 IN LAST 27 MLB ATS PICKS
+310 3-0 IN LAST 3 NYM ATS PICKS
+54 2-1 IN LAST 3 CHC ATS PICKS

Season Splits

7-5, +10 ML
7-9, -296 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
58%
7-5, +10
7-9, -196
43%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
3-4, -228
5-5, +25
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
55%
5-4, -105
3-3, +130
50%
When Line was -140 to -110
MONEY LINE
When Line was +100 to +130
33%
1-2, -120
3-1, +230
75%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
3-3, -128
2-1, +220
66%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
55%
5-4, +18
3-4, -216
42%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
0%
0-1, -100
7-9, -196
43%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
66%
2-1, +90
2-1, +58
66%
vs CHC
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +115
100%
when David Peterson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zach Davies starts
50%
1-1, +5
1-2, -147
33%