loading...
Wed 04/21 | 7:10 PM UTC | Denver
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Houston Astros 7-10, -386 ML
HOU -1.5+105
HOU -140
Over 10-110
Colorado Rockies 6-12, -477 ML
COL +1.5-125
COL +130
Under 10-110

Expert Picks

Houston 3 @ Colorado 6 | 04/21 | 7:10 PM UTC

Colorado +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I've won twice on Colorado at home on the runline already this week, so let's keep it rolling at -125 for the series finale vs. Houston -- which will not have the DH again and remains without former AL MVP Jose Altuve (COVID protocols). Rox lefty starter Austin Gomber is 0-2 but has a very solid 3.52 ERA and held the Dodgers to three runs in six innings in his last start. Houston's Jose Urquidy (0-1, 4.50) has made one career appearance against the Rockies, which was his MLB debut on July 2, 2019 at Coors Field. He allowed two runs and six hits over 3.2 innings. The Stros are just 1-8 in their past nine games.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+630 18-9 IN LAST 27 MLB ATS PICKS
+410 4-0 IN LAST 4 COL ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS

Season Splits

7-10, -386 ML
6-12, -477 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
43%
7-9, -471
5-12, -607
29%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
6-4, -36
5-6, -7
45%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
30%
3-7, -481
4-11, -587
26%
When Line was -160 to -130
MONEY LINE
When Line was +120 to +150
75%
3-1, +119
0-1, -100
0%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
50%
2-2, -46
4-5, +13
44%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
0%
0-5, -500
2-3, -85
40%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
35%
5-9, -581
4-6, -200
40%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
50%
2-2, -13
1-2, -95
33%
vs COL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs HOU
0%
0-1, -100
1-0, +105
100%
when Jose Urquidy starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Austin Gomber starts
33%
1-2, -100
0-3, -300
0%