Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
On Monday, the Dodgers travel to Seattle off a Sunday 5-2 loss against the Padres. They’ll face lefty Justus Sheffield, who in his lone home start was hit hard and allowed eight hits to the Chicago White Sox. Expect the Dodgers to get to a Mariners bullpen that has not been put in a spot of a multi-run deficit since April 8. Take the Dodgers on the run line.
The Dodgers have gone Under in five of seven road games this season at ballparks not named Coors Field. I trust Dustin May to keep the Mariners in check Monday and the Dodgers carry an OPS vs. LHP that is 120 points worse than against RHP so far this year. We've also seen that totals at or above 8.5 are 17-25 O/U in the last seven days. Play the Under.
I am going to have to play contrarian here to my three cohorts who picked the Dodgers on the runline. This almost feels like a trap game for L.A. off a very heated weekend series at blood rival San Diego. Dodgers starting pitcher Dustin May is a stud and L.A. probably wins, but I'll take the much better than expected Mariners getting +1.5 as a +105 underdog at home. Seattle also could see the season debut of 2020 AL Rookie of the Year Kyle Lewis off injury.
Eleven of the Dodgers' 13 wins have come by two or more runs. I like getting the Dodgers off a loss facing a Seattle team they've dominated (10-2 past 12 meetings). Dustin May has 14 strikeouts in 10.1 innings, a 1.74 ERA, and he should have a long outing after only throwing 4.1 innings last time out vs. Colorado. Play the Dodgers on the run line at -125.