Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
Both teams were off Thursday, although the Phillies weren't supposed to be. Their game at the Mets was rained out. This will mark 572 days since the Phillies last played a club that wasn’t an East Coast team. The Phils have been one of the best home teams in the majors since 2018 and are 5-1 at Citizens Bank Park in 2021. They start Zach Eflin, who has 3.49 ERA in his past 20 outings and the Phils are 13-7 in them. He is always much better at home than away. The Cards' Carlos Martinez (0-2, 6.30) hasn't been a good starter since 2018. Bryce Harper has two homers off him in seven at-bats.
The Cardinals have allowed 32 runs over their last five games and their pitching staff ranks 28th with a WHIP of 1.47. Carlos Martinez had a terrible 2020 season and this season has started the same way: 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA. The Phillies struggled big-time against the Mets, scoring four runs while losing all three road games, but this is a good spot for their bats to wake up. Bryce Harper has two homers in seven career at-bats versus Martinez. With Philadelphia's Zach Eflin in much better current form, I'll back the home favorite.