I'm still ticked off about Atlanta's loss at home to Philadelphia on Sunday night as the home-plate umpire and the review officials totally blew a ninth-inning call that led to the game-winning run for the Phillies. A handful of sportsbooks refunded Braves moneyline wagers because of it. The Marlins start their ace here in Sandy Alcantara, but they are just 5-16 in their past 21 games in Atlanta. Alcantara was knocked around by the Braves in Game 3 of the 2020 NLDS, too. Ronald Acuña Jr. owns a 1.079 OPS and 17 home runs in 44 career games against the Marlins. Acuña has hit five of his franchise-record 20 regular season leadoff home runs against Miami.

Huascar Ynoa impressed for a scoreless start in his first of the season on the road against the Nationals and earned a second start, this time at home. Sandy Alcantara has impressed early as well only allowing two earned runs in 12 IP. However, the Braves bats are on fire right now. Freddie Freeman has hit a home run in three straight games and the Marlins and the Braves are 4-1 since starting 0-4 while the Marlins are 2-6. Bet this game on the Braves being better with their bats and bullpen.