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Thu 04/08 | 8:15 PM UTC | St. Louis
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Milwaukee Brewers 3-3, -9 ML
MIL -1.5+115
MIL -145
Over 7.5+105
St. Louis Cardinals 4-2, +218 ML
STL +1.5-135
STL +135
Under 7.5-125

Expert Picks

Milwaukee 1 @ St. Louis 3 | 04/13 | 4:10 AM UTC

St. Louis +1.5

WIN

ANALYSIS: I frankly think the Cardinals may win this game outright, but I'll take -145 on the runline just in case. It's the St. Louis home debut of Nolan Arenado, and he's hitting .360 with a homer and three RBIs in the early going. Milwaukee is favored simply because of starting pitcher Corbin Burnes, who took a no-hitter into the seventh of his opener vs. Minnesota and struck out 11 but ended up losing. Burnes had a 4.32 in two starts last year vs. the Cards. It's veteran Adam Wainwright for St. Louis, his sixth career home opening start. He was definitely bad last Saturday in Cincinnati, but the Reds are killing everyone. The Cards have won four straight series openers.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+885 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

3-3, -9 ML
4-2, +218 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
3-3, -4
4-2, +218
66%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
66%
2-1, +5
0-0, 0
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
0%
0-1, -100
3-1, +231
75%
When Line was -155 to -125
MONEY LINE
When Line was +115 to +145
0%
0-1, -100
2-0, +230
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
0-0, 0
4-2, +218
66%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
66%
2-1, +5
3-0, +303
100%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
66%
2-1, +5
3-0, +303
100%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
when Corbin Burnes starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Adam Wainwright starts
0%
0-1, -100
0-1, -100
0%