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Thu 04/08 | 7:05 PM UTC | Baltimore
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Red Sox 3-3, +30 ML
BOS -1.5+100
BOS -153
Over 9-110
Baltimore Orioles 4-2, +437 ML
BAL +1.5-120
BAL +143
Under 9-110

Expert Picks

Boston 7 @ Baltimore 3 | 04/13 | 4:05 AM UTC

Baltimore +1.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: The last time the Orioles played in front of fans at Camden Yards was Sept. 22, 2019. Around 11,000 will be allowed for Baltimore's home opener. The Birds swept three games at Fenway last week and will start reclamation project Matt Harvey. He took a no-decision in Boston last week, allowing two runs and six hits over 4.2 innings. It's lefty Eduardo Rodriguez for the Sox, and he missed all of last season due to myocarditis. Rodriguez was originally scheduled to start Opening Day before coming down a "dead arm" late in spring training. Thus, he may not be out there long and Baltimore, which is 5-2 in its past seven vs. a lefty, is solid value at -118 on the runline at home.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+885 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

3-3, +30 ML
4-2, +437 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
3-3, -65
4-2, +437
66%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
25%
1-3, -210
4-2, +437
66%
When Line was -168 to -138
MONEY LINE
When Line was +128 to +158
0%
0-2, -200
2-0, +300
100%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
0%
0-3, -300
3-0, +462
100%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
0%
0-3, -300
4-2, +437
66%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
75%
3-1, +135
2-2, +125
50%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
0%
0-3, -300
3-0, +462
100%
when Eduardo Rodriguez starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Matt Harvey starts
0-0, 0
1-0, +150
100%