Dallas Keuchel is 8-5 with a 3.35 ERA this season and 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA at home. He has a 0.97 ERA in his last six starts. Vince Velasquez is 6-7 with a 4.95 ERA this season and 4-5 with a 5.40 ERA on the road. In 2.2 IP against the Braves, he has given up four runs. This should end up being more of a bullpen game for the Phillies who have the 17th best bullpen in the league. I like the Braves at home.

Dallas Keuchel has a 2.10 ERA at home and a 1.16 ERA over the past month. Look for the Braves to tee off on Vince Velasquez; he has a 5.40 road ERA and an 8.59 ERA over the past month. Philly has lost his last six starts against the Braves.