There's value on the host Braves at even money, as Max Fried has been significantly better at home. Atlanta has won 20 of his last 26 starts. Even against Stephen Strasburg, I'll take the Braves at this price.

The Braves have gone 20-8 behind Max Fried this season, including winning his last eight starts. But he wasn’t sharp in his last three, allowing 11 earned runs combined. And one of the eight losses came in his last start against the Nationals, who have won six of their last eight against the Braves in Atlanta. Stephen Strasburg comes off his best outing of the season, and he beat the Braves in his last three starts against them. Nationals to win.