Alex Wood is 1-0 with a 5.65 ERA this season in three starts. He has given up a home run every outing and he is coming off a 3-inning, 5 earned run outing. Joe Ross is 2-3 with a 6.75 ERA this season but he is on an 11.1 IP scoreless streak with a 1.67 ERA in his three starts this season. The Nationals have the sixth best OPS in the league against lefties and they are 26-15 as the home favorite. Take the value in the Nats.

My projections see the surging Nationals beating the Reds in nearly two-thirds of simulations Tuesday, providing a major value spot against the relatively flat price. I've got Washington winning this matchup in 65 percent of simulations. The Nationals are 4-1 in home starts by Joe Ross against opponents with losing records and 16-7 overall in his past 23 home outings.