Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
This is a potential letdown spot for the surging Braves following their dominance of the Twins in the final two games of their important series. The dreadful Marlins are desperate for a win after dropping all six contests on their recent road trip. But they have won three of their past five on their home diamond. Starter Elieser Hernandez has a 3.00 career ERA against the Braves and is 1-1 with a 4.22 ERA this year at Marlins Park.
The Marlins have lost six straight and now have to face Dallas Keuchel, who's fanned 20 over his last three starts. A month ago, Keuchel faced the Marlins and tossed 7.1 innings, allowing two runs on five hits. The Braves' bats are on fire and they love playing on the road. Lay it.
Elieser Hernandez is 1-4 with a 5.66 ERA this season and he gave up five earned runs in his last start in three innings. Dallas Keuchel is 3-4 with a 3.86 ERA this season and he gave up two earned runs in 7.1 IP in his first outing against the Marlins. The Marlins are dead last in OPS against lefties and the Braves are 19-5 as the road favorite. The Braves are 10-2 against the Marlins this year and the Marlins have lost six straight.
The Braves are 18-5 straight-up as road favorites this year, the position they find themselves in on Thursday against the Marlins. They're also 10-2 on the season against Miami. Dallas Keuchel has a solid 3.86 ERA since joining the Braves in the middle of the season, so the model gives him the edge against opposing starter Elieser Hernandez (1-4, 5.66 ERA). Miami has lost nine of 10 overall and the Braves just took two of three against the AL Central-leading Twins. They're worth the price in this one.