There's some spot value Friday on the Reds as starter Alex Wood faces his former team. Wood, who went 25-10 the past two seasons for the Dodgers, was brought in up in the Braves' system. He has missed most of the season because of back issues, but returned Sunday. Atlanta's Kevin Gausman gave up six earned runs and three homers in his last outing. He is also 0-2 with a 14.63 ERA in two starts against Cincinnati.

My numbers see the Braves getting the best of the Reds nearly two-thirds of the time in their Friday meeting, providing a strong value on Atlanta behind the moderate price. I've got the Braves winning this matchup in 65 percent of simulations. Atlanta is 4-1 in the past five home starts by Kevin Gausman and 7-0 when he pitches on full rest. The Reds have dropped five of their past seven Friday contests.