David Price is 7-4 with a 3.66 ERA this season and he is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA at home. Charlie Morton is 12-3 with a 2.60 ERA this season and he is 6-2 with a 2.45 ERA on the road. Morton has faced Boston three times this season with two quality starts and a five earned run game. Price has faced the Rays four times this season including three quality starts and a two earned run game but only five IP. Take the value in the hot Red Sox.

Charlie Morton is 12-3 on the season with a 2.60 ERA. He sports a solid 3.86 ERA against the Red Sox. But he's up against former Rays standout David Price at Fenway Park, where the Boston starter is 28-9 all-time with a 3.06 ERA. No offense is on a roll more than Boston, which is batting .301 on the month while averaging 7.1 runs per game. The Sox win 61 percent of my simulations, so there's value in the hottest team in baseball.