The Giants are finally starting to play to their potential and the market hasn't quite caught up today thanks to a matchup with Noah Syndergaard. Bumgarner and the Giants should be -127 according to my simulations. Lay it with the Giants at home.

The Giants have won eight of their last nine, including their last five for their longest win streak of the season. They went into Colorado and swept a four-game series. The bats are alive and they've scored 115 runs in their last 14 games, winning 12 of them. Starter Madison Bumgarner has allowed only four earned runs between his last four starts. The Mets have won a season-high four straight games, but the Giants have hte value Thursday.

The Mets have won four in a row and have Noah Syndergaard on the mound on Thursday. But the Giants have won 13 of 16, have one of the hottest offenses in the game and have their ace on the hill in Madison Bumgarner. San Francisco has won Bumgarner's last four home starts, and his last seven at home against these Mets. Lock in the home Giants at near even money.

Madison Bumgarner is 5-7 with a 3.86 ERA this season and he has a 1.29 ERA over his last three starts. In his one start against the Mets this season, he gave up three earned runs in six innings pitched. Noah Syndergaard is 7-4 with a 4.55 ERA this season and he gave up three earned runs in 6.2 IP in his only outing against the Giants this season. The Giants have won five in a row and the Mets have won four in a row. The Giants have easily scored the most runs in the last seven days while the Mets have scored the 15th most runs in the last seven days. Take the value in the Giants at home.

Repeat pitching matchups tend to give some of the highest value in betting for MLB. Just a month ago on June 4 the Giants faced the Mets with Noah Syndergaard and Madison Bumgarner on the mound. The Giants delivered in that game and currently are one of the hottest teams in MLB with 62 runs post All-Star break. Yet grab the cheaper price on a Mets team that’s devalued as they are starting their third straight road series.