Nothing like a hot summer night at Wrigley Field with the wind blowing directly out to centerfield. Kyle Hendricks has struggled with his command since returning from injury, and even if he's better tonight, and Luis Castillo pitches well, Wrigley is a Little League field in these weather conditions.

The Reds are the best Under team in MLB, cashing at over 62 percent of their games and both starters have stayed Under 25 times in their 34 combined starts. But they'll be hard-pressed to stay Under tonight at Wrigley Field because it's a warm 86 degrees and the wind is blowing out 14 MPH to center. The Reds got some serious batting practice in at Coors Field scoring 26 runs in their last two games. Over is the play.

Luis Castillo has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts, he has a 1.65 ERA at night, and the Cubs are hitting .122 against him in two previous starts this season. Chicago starter Kyle Hendricks, who dealt with shoulder inflammation last month, has pitched a total of 11.1 innings in his last three starts, all losses. Grab the road dog.