Jacob Degrom is 4-7 with a 3.27 ERA this season, but he has one win in his last 10 starts despite a 3.27 ERA in that span. Sandy Alcantara is 4-8 with a 3.82 ERA but he has thrown a shutout against the Marlins this season. Degrom has faced the Marlins three times this season but the most recent outing he gave up six earned runs in five innings. The Mets are 18-32 on the road and 7-9 as the road favorite. The Mets are 5-13 when Degrom starts. Take the value in the Marlins.

I realize the Marlins are facing reigning Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom, who has recorded seven straight quality starts. But in his last start against Miami, on May 17, the Marlins punished him for six earned runs on nine hits in 5.0 innings. And even if deGrom is vintage deGrom, do you trust the Mets bullpen to close out the game? This price on the Marlins is too good. Roll the dice with Miami.