Noah Syndergaard is 6-4 with a 4.68 ERA this season and 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA on the road. Zac Gallen has only made three starts including one shortened by rain, but he has given up six earned runs in 11 innings. Syndergaard has given up 11 earned runs in 16.1 IP in his last three starts, and the Mets are only 5-4 against the Marlins this season.

The Mets' Noah Syndergaard admitted after his last start that he's struggling with his delivery. In his last three starts, he has a 5.94 ERA with eight walks in 16.2. That's enough for me to take plus money on the Marlins, who have beaten the Mets four straight games.

My model says that the Marlins win this game 50 percent of the time, so you're getting solid value with Miami at plus-money. The Mets' Noah Syndergaard has allowed 12 runs in his last three starts, and the Marlins have won four straight against their NL East rivals. Take Miami.