The Reds are the best Under team in baseball, cashing at 64 percent, but they're going to have a hard time keeping today's game Under because of the heat and Kyle Freeland. It's 95 degrees in Denver tonight, and a slight wind is blowing out, which means the ball is going to carry very well. And then there's Freeland, who has a 9.31 ERA in six home starts, five of them going Over. He's given up 12 runs between his last two starts. Over is the play.