It's going to be a hot and sticky 93 degrees tonight in Arlington, and the ball should carry well, which means bad news for Framber Valdez, who has been rocked in his last two starts, allowing six runs to the Pirates and five runs to the Yankees. The Astros have lost three of his four starts. The Rangers have won four straight behind Lance Lynn, and they've gone Over in five of their last seven overall. Over is the top play.

Lefty Framber Valdez is expected to be called up for Houston to make the start. While he got shellacked in his two most recent outings in the majors, he's a very talented pitcher who's fanned 41 batters in 45.1 innings with the Astros this year. The Rangers' Lance Lynn has been consistently solid, but he's facing a Houston lineup that destroys left-handed pitching (MLB-best .870 OPS). Back the 'Stros to improve to 20-7 in their last 27 games at Globe Life Park.