Matthew Boyd is 5-6 with a 3.72 ERA this season, although he is 0-5 with a 6.23 ERA in seven starts in Chicago. He is 0-2 with a 5.9 ERA in June, and he has given up at least one home run in every one of his June starts including three home runs each of his last two outings. Reynaldo Lopez is 4-7 with a 6.12 ERA, although he has a 4.63 ERA in his last four starts. In two games against Detroit this season, he has thrown 12 innings only giving up two earned runs. The White Sox are 8-9 when Lopez starts but the Tigers are 6-11 when Boyd starts, take the value in the White Sox at home.

My numbers see a maximum of eight runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Tigers and White Sox, providing a major value position on teh Under against a total of 9.5. I'm seeing the Under hit in a whopping 70 percent of simulations. Detroit is on a 5-1 spurt to the Under and is also playing 5-2 to the Under when Matthew Boyd makes road starts against losing teams.