On the whole, St. Louis' Jack Flaherty has been better than his numbers indicate. He gets a lot of strikeouts, and doesn't issue too many walks. Where he runs into problems, however, is he allows too many fly balls. Fly balls that have a tendency to leave the park. So I like this matchup for the Seattle offense, but I don't have enough faith in the Seattle pitching staff to take the Mariners. I do think there's value on this total, though.