Royals starter Brad Keller has struggled recently (he has lost four straight decisions), but Blue Jays starter Aaron Sanchez has been worse. In his last five starts, he has allowed 30 earned runs in 24.0 innings and has lost all five games. Toronto has lost his last seven starts. My model says that the Royals win this game more than 50 percent of the time, so you're getting good value here. Go with Kansas City.