Oracle Park is most definitely a pitcher's park, but the total in this game is too low considering Drew Pomeranz will be on the mound tonight. Pomeranz walks too many hitters, and gives up too many fly balls, which explains why he has an ERA of 6.79 and a xFIP of 4.45. I like Arizona to win, but not at this price, so instead I'm going with the value I see on this total.

Zack Greinke is 8-3 with a 3.08 ERA this season and he is 5-0 with a 1.37 ERA in Oracle Park in his career. Drew Pomeranz is 2-8 with a 6.79 ERA and 0-4 with an 8.53 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks. Arizona has the second most runs scored in the league against lefties and third highest OPS in the league against lefties. The Dbacks are 6-0 as the road favorite and 11-6 when Greinke starts while the Giants are 6-8 when Pomeranz starts. Lay the road favorite.