Ariel Jurado is 4-3 with a 4.44 ERA this season. Spencer Turnbull is 3-7 with a 3.29 ERA, but he is 0-4 with a 4.07 ERA at home this season. The Tigers have lost six in a row while the Rangers have won four in a row. The Rangers are a solid 18-4 as the favorite, and 5-0 as the road favorite. The Tigers are 11-27 at home and 6-24 as the home underdog. Take the value in the Rangers.

The Rangers are 27-14 in their last 41 games and I'll back them to win their fifth straight Thursday afternoon. They're facing Spencer Turnbull, who's given up 18 runs in his last 19 innings at home. Lay it with Texas.

My numbers see the Rangers taking down the Tigers in 63 percent of simulations for their Thursday meeting, providing a major value spot on the razor-thin road favorite. The Rangers are on a 6-2 spurt in road games against right-handed starters, while the Tigers have lost the last four home starts by Spencer Turnbull.