The Washington Nationals' five-game win streak came to an end in Saturday's high-scoring 13-9 loss to Atlanta. Sunday will conclude an 11-game home stand for the Nationals which would figure to be an edge for starter Patrick Corbin. In Corbin's last three home starts he has pitched 24 innings and only given up two runs. Expect another strong outing from Corbin but for Sunday's game to be decided by the bullpens. Similar to Saturday, grab the Braves to topple the Nationals bullpen and get the victory.

My model has the Braves winning more than 50 percent of simulations, so you're getting good value with Atlanta at this price. Nationals starter Patrick Corbin has allowed at least six earned runs in two of his last four starts. Meanwhile Braves starter Mike Soroka is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA in six road starts this season. Take Atlanta.

Patrick Corbin is coming off a dominant outing but he was very shaky in his three previous starts. Mike Soroka has a 1.11 ERA on the road, with batters hitting .154 against him. Back the road dog.