Matthew Boyd is 5-5 with a 3.35 ERA this season, although he has a 5.63 ERA in June. Trevor Bauer is 5-6 with a 3.41 ERA but he’s coming off a four-hit shutout in Detroit. Cleveland has scored the fifth most runs in the last seven days while the Tigers are last, only scoring 18 runs in the last five games. Cleveland is 5-1 against Detroit this season, take the value in the Indians.

My model says the Indians win this game 80 percent of the time, so Cleveland provides excellent value even at this price. Friday night's starter Trevor Bauer shut out these Tigers on four hits while striking out eight and walking none just five days ago. And Detroit starter Matthew Boyd has been hit hard over his last three games. Take the Indians with confidence.