Trevor Bauer has been underwhelming this season with a 3.71 ERA and Spencer Turnbull has been very good with a 2.78 ERA. But this Tigers team is the second worst in the league at scoring runs, and Miguel Cabrera’s out. I like the Indians to outscore the Tigers today despite the pitching matchup.

The Indians' Trevor Bauer is coming off his best start in awhile, giving up only one earned run in 7.2 innings against the Reds. He faces a Tigers lineup that is second to last in the majors in runs scored. My simulations have Cleveland winning more than 70 percent of the time, so this is a great value. Go with the Indians.

Cleveland's Trevor Bauer is pitching far better than his record indicates. On the road, he sports a 2.42 ERA and during the day his ERA is 2.45. Lay it as the Indians finish off the sweep.