The Yankees have lost their last two games and also the last two starts by CC Sabathia. The White Sox have won their last two games and also the last eight starts by Lucas Giolito. In addition, his last seven have stayed Under the total. He hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts. The White Sox have beaten the Yankees three of four meetings this season. I'm on the White Sox.

White Sox ace Lucas Giolito (9-1) has delivered an outstanding first half of the season. Because of him, Chicago finds itself as an unusual favorite against the New York Yankees on Friday. Meanwhile Yankees starter CC Sabathia has struggled pitching beyond five innings. When you factor in the Yankees' bullpen use on Wednesday and Thursday, the value sides with Chicago. Grab the White Sox.

My projections see major value Friday on the Yankees Friday when they meet the White Sox in Chicago. I've got New York winning in nearly two-thirds of simulations, giving us a major edge against the flat price. The Yankees have won five straight behind CC Sabathia against losing teams and his last five Friday starts. The White Sox are 0-4 when Lucas Giolito starts at home against winning teams.