Adam Plutko is coming off a six-inning, two run performance against the Yankees while Ryan Carpenter is coming off a 3.2 inning, eight run performance. This will be Plutko’s first start on the road and if he can limit the long ball he will perform. Ryan Carpenter has flashed his stuff but he has been very inconsistent with a 10.53 ERA in four starts at home. The Indians are 8-3 after a day off and 2-1 when Plutko starts while the Tigers are 2-4 when Carpenter starts.

On Friday, the Cleveland Indians are heavy road favorites against the Detroit Tigers. The Indians' inconsistencies this season have been due, in large part, to injuries to the pitching staff. Stepping in for his fourth straight start for Cleveland will be Adam Plutko. Look for the biggest road price on Friday to be correct here as the Indians take care of a Tigers team that continues its downward trajectory.

My data sees the Indians holding a massive edge over the Tigers in their Friday meeting, making Cleveland a relative bargain at the moderate price. My numbers have the Indians winning in a whopping 75 percent of simulations and by an average of 2.5 runs in those victories. Cleveland has won five of its last six against left-handed starters and is 4-1 in the last five outings by starter Adam Plutko.