I just don’t like this matchup for the Blue Jays, a strikeout pitcher against a strikeout vulnerable team. Clayton Richard hasn’t gone more than 4.2 innings in a game, although he has a 3.55 ERA in three starts. Vladdy’s getting the day off and the Diamondbacks score the most runs in the league against lefties. The Blue Jays have the fourth worst OPS in the league against lefties and Robbie Ray is 4-3 with a 3.62 ERA. The Dbacks are 4-0 as the road favorite and they’re adding a DH to their lefty crushing lineup, lay the favorite.

My numbers see the Diamondbacks beating the Blue Jays on Sunday in nearly 70 percent of simulations and by nearly two full runs in those victories. Arizona has won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 14-2 and I see them finishing off the sweep behind lefty Robby Ray. He is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his past five road starts. Lay the price with Arizona.