Chris Sale’s struggles have certainly impacted his ERA (4.31). With two potent teams in the Red Sox and Astros facing off, oddsmakers have a tough time pinpointing an accurate total. Astros starter Wade Miley has surrendered home runs in seven straight games. Compounding matters is an Astros bullpen that has been overextended on consecutive nights. Yet, the value is all on the Under here. Take it.

How often can you find the Astros as a home dog? Chris Sale is Chris Sale, but last week against the Astros Sale allowed 3 runs and only lasted 5.1 innings despite his 10 strikeouts. There isn't an offense in baseball that hits lefties as well as Houston's does, so this is tremendous value on the Astros. A team that is 18-6 at home.

Chris Sale has been much better in May with a 2.05 ERA in four starts after a 6.3 ERA in April. Wade Miley is 4-2 with a 3.51 ERA including five quality starts this season going six innings in five of his last seven starts. Both these teams are good at hitting lefties, but the Astros have the best OPS in the league against lefties while the Red Sox are 13th. The Astros are 7-3 when Miley starts while the Red Sox are 3-7 when Sale starts. Take the value in the 18-6 Astros at home.