Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Mariners are undervalued in the afternoon matchup with Adrian Sampson. Marco Gonzalez hasn't been sharp recently, but he's the better pitcher in this matchup as Sampson has a career .423 wOBA allowed to right-handed hitters. I have the Mariners winning 57 percent of simulations.
Marco Gonzales is 5-3 with a 3.65 ERA this season. Although he hasn’t been as sharp recently, he is 4-1 with a 2.6 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers. Adrian Sampson is 1-3 with a 4.79 ERA. Both these teams are top three in the league in hitting so this could end up being a shootout, but I like the Mariners on the road in this one.