Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
The Brewers are 16-8 at home, and they've won Gio Gonzalez's last six home starts. They've also owned the Reds in Milwaukee, going 16-5 in the last 21 meetings at Miller Park. Cincy is much improved since its horrific start, but I'll still lay it with the hosts.
Gio Gonzalez has gone 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in four starts with the Brewers this season, while Sonny Gray is 0-4 with a 4.3 ERA. This Reds team is 20th in the league in OPS against lefties and 21st in runs scored against lefties. The Brewers are 16-8 at home while the Reds are 9-15 on the road. The Brewers are 3-0 against the Reds this season and 5-0 after an off day. Take the value in the Brewers and a rested bullpen at home.
Gio Gonzalez and the Brewers have been a great match. They've won all three of his starts, and now they come off a Monday off-day, and the team is 5-0 following a day off. The Brewers win a solid two-thirds of my simulations against Sonny Gray and the Reds, which brings an implied money line of -203. We're getting a great price with Milwaukee.