Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
Read More
Expert Picks
San Diego starter Chris Paddack has terrific stuff and has looked great so far this season. Still, while his peripherals don't suggest he's been extremely lucky, they do suggest he's had some luck, and that things could even out a bit soon. Paddack may not allow a lot of contact, but the contact he does allow tends to be of the hard variety. That could be problematic against an Arizona offense with an ISO of .198 coming into this meeting.
Chris Paddack is over valued at home against this Arizona lineup. The park shift to PETCO will only help Luke Weaver against this Padres lineup. I have Diamondbacks winning 47.5 percent of simulations, suggesting the line should be close to +111 instead of +130.
There's value on the Diamondbacks as they face the slumping Padres and their rookie ace, Chris Paddack. Arizona starter Luke Weaver sports a 2.25 ERA over his last three starts, and when he faced the Padres back on April 12, he limited them to two runs on five hits over 6.1 innings. He struck out eight and walked none. And did you realize the D-Backs are 14-9 on the road? That's the NL's best road record. Take Arizona.
Chris Paddack gets the ball for the Padres, and that's a good thing for them -- San Diego has won six of eight Paddack starts. But the Pads' offense has dried up lately, and Luke Weaver takes advantage according to my projections. Arizona wins more than half of my computer simulations, providing huge value on the D'backs.