Matt Boyd is getting a lot of respect here against a team that is built to hit left-handed pitching. Mengden is a high variance player but this Tigers lineup projects to strikeout just enough that I'm comfortable with my ratings on this play. I have Oakland winning 57 percent of simulations against Matt Boyd.

The As have now beaten the Tigers 14 games straight, and nine straight in Detroit. Sometimes certain teams are just a bad matchup, and that’s what is happening here. Not to mention, the Athletics are fifth in the league at scoring against lefties, and fourth in OPS. Mengden made his first start of the season last outing giving up four runs in 5.1 IP. Boyd is coming off a home loss against the Astros only going four innings. I like the Athletics to keep the streak alive.

The A's have amazingly beaten the Tigers 14 straight times, a streak that dates to May 2017. The past two games, however, are the most relevant. Oakland has pounded Detroit 24-5 over the past two nights, continuing the Tigers pitching woes. In the last 10 games, Detroit has a 7.57 ERA. My model says that the A's win this game 69 percent of the time, giving this money line a strong value. Take Oakland to make it 15 straight.