The market is quite efficient on this game today, but I'm still going to play the Brewers as I have a few things that I like about the way the Brewers matchup with Gausman's pitch frequencies. Milwaukee is winning exactly 50 percent of simulations in my model.

Chase Anderson has a 1.86 ERA in two starts this season before he landed on the IL. Gausman is 2-3 with a 4.5 ERA including a 6.04 ERA in his last five starts. With the Brewers bullpen rested and the Braves bullpen getting some work last night after a valiant comeback effort by the Brewers, I like the Brewers to bounce back and get the win in Atlanta.