Once again, certain teams just don’t matchup well and this is the case between the Dodgers and Reds. Walker Buehler has been steadily improving since his first start and is coming off seven scoreless against the Nationals. Mahle has pitched well this season with a 3.97 ERA despite an 0-5 record. However, the Reds are 1-7 when he starts. The Dodgers are 4-0 against the Reds this season, I like them to make it five with their fourth ranked run scoring offense.

Tyler Mahle has been very good at times this season, but I'm not ready to give him the respect the rest of the market appears to be willing to give. I have the Dodgers winning 62 percent of simulations behind Walker Buehler. This Dodgers lineup is just too good against right-handed pitching in such a strong hitting environment.