Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Understanding Public and Money
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Expert Picks
There's good value on the underdog Brewers, who have outscored Philly 11-3 the last two nights.
Zach Davies is 4-0 with a 1.54 ERA this season. He has given up two runs or fewer in each of his eight starts this season. Zach Eflin is 5-3 with a 2.47 ERA and coming off a four-hit shutout and two complete games in his last three starts. In a battle of aces, I usually like to take the team at home and with the better lineup. The Brewers lineup is better on a neutral field, but the home road splits are serious for both these teams. I like the Phillies at home in a close one.
The wrong team is favored on Thursday afternoon with Davies vs. Eflin. Eflin has allowed 1.83 HR/9 innings to lefties this season which is an improvement from his 2.10 career HR/9 vs. LHB. This Brewers lineup is the wrong lineup to face if you struggle with left-handed power. I have Milwaukee winning 52 percent of simulations meaning they should be -108 instead of +108.