Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
I just love this matchup for the Dodgers. They Dodgers offense has posted a wOBA of only .333 against lefties this season, but that's been some bad luck, as their BABIP is only .296 despite an excellent hard-hit rate of 42.6%. Padres starter Matt Strahm has had a very difficult time keeping balls on the ground, and he gives up a lot of hard contact. Sounds like a bad recipe for the Padres.
The Dodgers are an NL-best 18-6 at home this season, but only 3-3 in Kenta Maeda starts. The Padres tagged Maeda for four runs over six innings in a previous start, and San Diego is an impressive 10-7 as a road underdog this year. The Padres win 45 percent of my computer model simulations, but at this price that presents value. Take the underdog.