The Tigers are offering value as home dogs Monday behind Matthew Boyd. He's 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA at home. In his last three starts overall, Boyd has allowed five earned runs over 19 innings, with 24 strikeouts and two walks. Grab Detroit.

The Astros have won seven of eight and starter Brad Peacock is coming off his best start all season. My simulations show him being productive against a Tigers team that has been shut out in two of their last four games. Houston wins in a huge 70 percent of my simulations, making this money line price a good value. Take the Astros.