Seattle's Erik Swanson is a 25-year old rookie who has a decent fastball. However, his slider and change-up are both below average at this point in his career. Swanson's has a 4.94 ERA. Boston's Eduardo Rodriguez, even with an ERA of 5.40, is an above-average starter. However, the Seattle lineup has ranked in the top 10 all year versus left-handed pitchers. Take the Over in this matchup Friday.

The Red Sox have won Eduardo Rodriguez's last five starts and they've gone Over in six of his seven starts and last four overall. The average score in his starts has been 7.9 to 4.4. Erik Swanson has gone Over in his last three starts. Seattle is the best Over in MLB by a wide margin at 27-10-3. By itself, it's a solid Over play tonight, but making it better is 12 mph winds blowing to centerfield. Over is the play.