Max Scherzer is throwing at home for the Nationals, which used to be a slam dunk. But not this season. The Nats are 1-5 when the Cy Young winner takes the ball. My projections see another loss in the column against Miles Mikolas and a Cardinals team that's won nine of 10. St. Louis actually wins just over half of my computer model's simulations. Take the Cards as a massive underdog value.