The Mariners are an amazing 8-1 on the season as a road underdog. My projections have them moving to 9-1 behind the arm of Erik Swanson The Padres snapped a six-game losing streak on Sunday -- they're averaging under three runs per game in the last seven. Seattle wins 58 percent of my simulations, which as an underdog is a very large number. Jump on the Mariners.

The Padres are way overvalued with Nick Margevicius on the mound against Erik Swanson. The loss of the DH hurts Seattle, but not more than the park and league shift will help Swanson. The wrong team is favored in this matchup as I have the Mariners winning 52 percent of simulations in San Diego.