The last time Stephen Matz started against the Phillies they scored 10 runs in the first inning. I'm obviously banking on that incident not repeating itself, as the wind will be blowing straight in from center at Citi Field on Monday night.

Philadelphia lost three of four at Colorado over the weekend while the Mets have lost four of their last five games. They played each other last week and the Phillies took two of three, the last of which was an amazing gritty performance by a refreshed Jake Arrieta. The night before it was Steven Matz getting pummeled in the first inning allowing eight runs without recording an out. I'm on the Phillies tonight.